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  1. #1
    CaptainJessicaSparrow Guest

    Default

    I think you guys need to study Bayesian math.

    Like with Deal or No Deal, if you get to the last case, it's ALWAYS better to switch the cases. You would think that the chances are 50/50. But based on Bayesian math, the chances are actually around 60-70%.

    It would be too complex to explain it here, but essentially, they lead you to believe that it's not the case you picked so you'll miss it.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Apr 1999
    Location
    Dallas, TX (1424.06 miles from the Disneyland Resort)
    Posts
    1,129
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    WOW, I thought when I saw that this was 8 pages long that they had gotten rid of EMH. Just a slight change to the procedure? What is all the hububaloo about? This really seems like a minor change to me and I guess I just don't understand why everyone is getting so upset about it!

  3. #3
    CaptainJessicaSparrow Guest

    Default

    My opinions aren't based on the Guests, it's coming from the operational side of it.

    Which is where the problems are. Not so much the Guests losing their cards...which really isn't going to be that more common than before.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    INTERCOT, U.S.A.
    Posts
    31,938
    Post Thanks / Like

    Cool

    After 8 mostly off-topic pages devoted to what amounts to not much more than a very minor procedural change, I think this thred has run its course.

    Topic closed.
    Ian ºOº
    INTERCOT Senior Imagineer

    Veteran of over 60 trips to Disney theme parks and proud to have stayed in every Disney resort in the continental United States! º0º

    Next trip:

    April 2018 - Saratoga Springs Treehouse

    Help support INTERCOT's sponsors!!!

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