WDW Weather Forecast - January 31-Feb 16, 2010

[Crow]

so if u can hold the cold off until Feb 1st when i leave from DIsney that would b great, thanks!
glad you had a good trip. thanks for the updates

[rubato]

Thank you so much for your forecasts! I am going to be in WDW from the 19th through the 26th and couldn't ask for better weather. I appreciate you providing it for me!

[Strmchsr]

I appreciate you providing it for me!

Wish I could take credit for it, but I'm just in public relations, not management.

[dumbo_buddy]

thanks for the update!

6 days

[Iluvpooh]

Chris, you are not allowed to predict rain or cold for our trip. You've been warned!

[MushuGrl]

Leaving tomorrow! Thanks so much for your updates Chris!

(Like a good little Strmchsr fan, I've packed EVERYTHING.)

[Strmchsr]

Chris, you are not allowed to predict rain or cold for our trip. You've been warned!

Ummm...I'll be sure to speak to the Boss about that.

Leaving tomorrow!

Have a wonderful trip!!!

[MushuGrl]

Thank you!

Do got a quick question and I think you answered it before, but now that it's semi out of voodooland, does that rain coming in on the 25th look like an all-day event?

[Strmchsr]

Do got a quick question and I think you answered it before, but now that it's semi out of voodooland, does that rain coming in on the 25th look like an all-day event?

No, I don't think so. Maybe 2-3 hours worth. It looks more like a squall line situation where you get a little light rain, then a big round of thunderstorms, then a little more light rain and its over.

[MushuGrl]

Thank you! Be a good time for a nap!

[BigThunderFan]

No, I don't think so. Maybe 2-3 hours worth. It looks more like a squall line situation where you get a little light rain, then a big round of thunderstorms, then a little more light rain and its over.

Thanks Chris! Hopefully this is 2-3 hours between 1-4

[DisneyorBust]

Thanks Chris! I really appreciate all of your time and effort in helping all of us plan for our upcoming trips.
My DW and I will be returning to WDW in early February and will continue to follow your forecasts to help us pack accordingly.
Thanks again.

[Crow]

thanks again! we fly down Mon evening so hope for more of the 70 temps this week.

[tjstrike]

Chris, can you predict more around the mid 70's for early to mid Feb. ? I'll slip ya a $20

[Strmchsr]

Chris, can you predict more around the mid 70's for early to mid Feb. ? I'll slip ya a $20

Oh, sure. Be glad to predict it. Can't guarantee it'll be right, though.

[Buttercup]

I'm just going to whine for a minute.
It is FREEZING up here in Canada right now - it's awful. I'm so disappointed it could be almost just as cold on February 7th! Yikes!
I'm going from January 30th (this Saturday!) until February 12th and it looks like we're going to get everything from 70's to 40's during those 2 weeks.
GAH!
I have to stop reading these weather reports religiously and just enjoy my vacation!
I know I'll still have a great time at WDW regardless of the weather. But we're bringing some first-timers down there and I'm taking on all kinds of ridiculous stress that they're not going to think it's as awesome as I do. I just wanted it to be great for their first time and if we have to walk around in our winter coats, it might take some of the 'awesomeness' out of their reactions.

Okay my rant is over. But for the record, I hope Stormchaser's prediction is absolutely wrong! (Not likely - he's usually bang-on with his forecasts! But a girl can dream...)

[Strmchsr]

I just wanted it to be great for their first time and if we have to walk around in our winter coats, it might take some of the 'awesomeness' out of their reactions

Well, I can vouch that I was in WDW with the temp at 31 degrees and snow falling a couple of weeks ago. My 4 yr old was bundled up like the kid on Christmas Story, but we still enjoyed all the awesomeness so it can be done.

As for me being wrong, it's possible. That is still in voodooland and I'm the first to say that beyond 7 days I'm not really forecasting. Just reporting model data. The problem this year is we have an El Nino sitation going on (and it's still strengthening) which leads to these kinds of situations. I'll hope it's not too cool for you, though.

[Buttercup]

Hey Stormchaser!
I hope I don't jinx anything by saying this, but I'm thinking the tables are starting to turn in my favor!
The 10-day forecast on Weather.com seems to be showing highs of 70+ all the way through until February 7th.
Do you think that cold-snap might be pushed off again?

[SFD998]

Hello Strmcshr,

You wrote "but then a strong system comes with a trough on Feb 14 that will unleash some strong storms and possibly much cooler air." I know it is really long range, but is that system also anticipated to impact the Daytona Beach area? The cold I can handle ( its about 15 degrees at my house right now not counting the wind), but the rain will ruin the race. Any info would be greatly appreciated.

[Strmchsr]

I know it is really long range, but is that system also anticipated to impact the Daytona Beach area?

If this system plays out as the models are showing this afternoon, yeah, it would impact Daytona. It'll cover basically all of Florida. As you noted, though, it's way out there and both the intensity and the timing of the system are likely to change by the time we get to a legitimate forecast period.