WDW Weather Forecast - November 30-Dec 16, 2011

[jakeybake]

Jay, last year was definitely a fluke (just like when I was down in Jan 2010 and we had snow flurries and 33 degrees at noon!). Obviously we're too far out for me to say what the first of December might be. The pattern we're currently in makes it about a 50/50 chance of temps being above/below normal. A complete coin flip right now. So, give me another week and we should start to get an idea of what early December might hold.

Thanks Chris I will look forward to it! Hopefully I don't have to scrape the frost off of my rental car each morning like last year!!

Jay

[Checkers]

Chris, Happy Birthday to Cole and to my granddaughter, Hannah, who is also 6 yrs. old today!

Btw, thanks for always keeping us informed. I really appreciate being able to check the weather here before we go to WDW and you are always pretty darn accurate.

[Strmchsr]

Thanks Paula! And to Hannah. I hope she had a great day.

[ginger19]

I've always wanted to have my own stalker. Now I feel like a celebrity.

You are a celebrity Now just keep rain out from the 18th -25th and you'll also be my hero

[jnfr2424]

Long range...No real change for Nov 23-Dec 1. The ridge stays mostly in control, which means highs will be mostly low 80s with occasional mid 80s possible. Lows will run in the low 60s. There's a chance of hit and miss showers a couple of days, but nothing worth talking about since this is voodooland. Basically, no major rain events for the rest of the month.

I know it's voodoo land but YIPEEEEEEEE!
Thanks Strmchsr for this report!

[mousetrapper]

Thank you so much! Great to hear the details about the weather when we're there Nov. 18-27.

Sounds like a nice stretch of reasonably good weather is in store.

[gokatgo]

This is so helpful!! We arrive on Thanksgiving and read your report each day. We are waiting a couple more days to pack but I think we've got a good mix of warm and cold weather clothes.

Thanks again!!

[Strmchsr]

We are waiting a couple more days to pack but I think we've got a good mix of warm and cold weather clothes.

This time of the year it's always a good idea to wait as close to possible to pack. Things get really crazy and hard to forecast, so the closer the better!

[jakeybake]

It's creeping closer and closer to my conference from 12/3-12/7!!!

Jay

[brivers222]

2 days until DISNEYmoon is in Voodooland!!!!!!!!

[Strmchsr]

2 days until DISNEYmoon is in Voodooland!!!!!!!!

I'll be arriving at the same time. I'm excited about seeing our dates pop into Voodooland, too.

[raider97]

I thought I was the only one who felt this way!
Thanks so much Strmchsr for all that you do!

Me too!! I'm not sure I've been on the boards here since our last trip, but today I was thinking about what the weather will be like for our trip and your thread is the first place I thought of!!

I am looking forward to the upcoming weather reports... we leave in a little over 3 weeks!!

Stephanie

[MinnieMommie]

Love your reports and have been following patiently as we get closer to my family"s travel dates but...we are leaving early morning on 12/18...can u give me any type of gestimate on what our week might look like? Is there some sort of long(er) range models or predictions that you have access to? I can't wait I have one daughter who keeps asking if it's going to be freezing like our January 2010 vacation. Is there much chance of this happening?

[Strmchsr]

I have one daughter who keeps asking if it's going to be freezing like our January 2010 vacation. Is there much chance of this happening?

There are some longer range models, but, unfortunately, they are about as useful as gazing into a crystal ball. Some years it's easier to tell because of the overall pattern, but this year the pattern is pretty much a 50-50 shot between above or below normal temps. I don't expect a big blast of arctic air any time soon, but I can't 100% rule it out either.

[MinnieMommie]

There are some longer range models, but, unfortunately, they are about as useful as gazing into a crystal ball. Some years it's easier to tell because of the overall pattern, but this year the pattern is pretty much a 50-50 shot between above or below normal temps. I don't expect a big blast of arctic air any time soon, but I can't 100% rule it out either.

ok I get it...we'll just keep reading your reports and keep our fingers crossed (and pack at the last minute).

[jakeybake]

I'm liking your forecast Chris!!

Jay

[brivers222]

Long range...Did my online check-in this morning, so I'm excited my arrival date is now almost out of voodooland... There's a slight possibility of rain on Dec 12, but right now it looks like the main dynamics will stay to the north of Orlando and the rain would not be significant. Dec 12 will probably stay in the upper 60s with the rain potential.

I am just about to do my first ever online check in

I am very curious about Dec 12 as that is our 1 month wedding anniversary and I have a few outdoor events planned. First up is the Keys to the Kingdom Tour and then we have the Sleigh Ride at 6:30pm...

Hopefully that rain goes away as dec 12 leaves voodoo land

[Strmchsr]

Hopefully that rain goes away as dec 12 leaves voodoo land

That's a very real possibility. However, even if it does rain, right now it doesn't look the rain would be a huge deal. High pressure over Florida is keeping most of the dynamics to the north so you have an instance like today with a storm that dropped almost 3.5" over me in Alabama just bringing a few sprinkles to Orlando. I think that would be the case with this system, too, though we'll see as we move closer.