I'll update this first post each day with the forecast (though I'll occasionally miss a day), both long and short term. As a general rule, up to 7 days is a pretty accurate forecast, beyond that it's educated guessing and largely dependent upon how well the models are doing at that moment, which is why I call it "voodooland." If you have any specific weather questions or comments, even if it's for an area other than WDW, please post and I'll answer throughout the thread. I'll also post weather tidbits every so often. Without further delay, let's get to the forecast:
Weather at WDW - Update Saturday pm, May 23, 2015
Tomorrow I'm leaving for Europe for 3 weeks with Adventures By Disney. Looking forward to a great time! However, I don't know how much I'll be able to update the forecast. I'll certainly do so as I'm able, but when I miss a day the best places to check are the local TV affiliate here and the National Weather Service here. You're better off ignoring the "fill in your zip code" sites which don't have any human interaction.
Another high today at 91-92 with plenty of sun. No significant rain through Saturday. There's a chance of pop up scattered thunderstorms each afternoon. Though those can be intense they're also fairly brief. The highs for tomorrow through Tuesday will be around 90, give or take a degree or two. Wednesday through Saturday highs should be 86-88.
Long range...May 31-June 8 looks like more of the same. High around 90 with pop up afternoon thunderstorms. Typical summertime pattern.
Travel Issues :drive::plane:
No major delays today. For tomorrow, thunderstorms could potentially cause some delays over TX, LA, AR, OK, KS, NE, MO, and IL.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here and here to learn a lot about turbulence and other issues that sometimes cause anxiety when flying. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Chris, aka Strmchsr
INTERCOT Staff: Vacation Planning, Guests with Special Needs, and Weather Guru
Thanks Chris,we are leaving 5/9 so I will be checking daily. Appreciate the work you put into this!
May'98-WL
Sept'01-POFQ
Oct'03-ASM
Aug'04-CBR & Charley
Dec'05- WL-Joined DVC
June'06- DL's Grand Californian
Nov '06 SSR
Oct '07 SSR with extended family
Oct '08 Disney Wonder/OKW
Nov '09 AKV @ Kidani
Nov '10 Kidani
Nov '11 VWL
May-June 13 Kidani
Feb-March '14 SSR
My pleasure! I hope you have a great time.:mickey:
Chris, aka Strmchsr
INTERCOT Staff: Vacation Planning, Guests with Special Needs, and Weather Guru
Strmchsr;2455553 wrote: Long range...May 11-13 stays dry and in the mid 80s. Thunderstorms move in for May 14.
Thank you for this. I'll be there May 10-14. I'm fine with thunderstorms on the day I leave. 
If this forecast holds up, it will be the exact opposite of my Spring 2014 trip. It rained every day and finally stopped the day before I left.
:thumbsup:
As always, thanks for the updates to the forecast. Every year we look to you for guidance and every year you have been 'spot on'! Thanks for all that you do. Arriving May 18th and looking forward to a hopefully sunny and hot week.:cloud9:
We are leaving in 2 days :party::party::party:. Appreciate the weather report:mickey:
First WDW Trip 1984
30+ Trips since 1984
Disneyland 4 Visits
Disneyland Paris 2010
40th Wedding Anniversary December 2013
Disney Cruises 2: Magic 2005, Fantasy 2012
Last Trip November 2019
thanks. arriving 6-2 for 6 nights
DVC owner at AKL, OKW & BRV. stayed at every WDW resort except GF & YC. also went to Aulani & Disneyland. top of bucket list Tokyo DL next year, maybe Paris and Hong Kong
everything ok? no update in 2 weeks?
First visit: Feb. 1989
a bunch in between
Next visit: 6/16
cuteduck223;2459563 wrote: everything ok? no update in 2 weeks?
Chris is fine. Just enjoying a great vacation of his own.
goos to know i check the weather from time to time just to see what im missing
First visit: Feb. 1989
a bunch in between
Next visit: 6/16
Chris had suggested in the first post of this thread checking one of the local TV affilates or NWS. I looked them over and here is a summary. Remember, unlike Chris, I have never been a meteorologist at any point of my career, so I am not equipped to answer any in-depth weather questions like him nor to forecast "voodooland".
TONIGHT: Storms move west through the evening, then turn partly cloudy overnight Lows in the lower 70s with a light wind.
Tuesday-Friday- Normal Florida summer weather. Scattered afternoon thunder showers/storms chance at 50%. Highs in the low 90's and lows in the low 70's at night
Christine ºoº
Intercot Staff-Accommodations, Dining, Guests with Special Needs
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Hammer;2459832 wrote: Chris had suggested in the first post of this thread checking one of the local TV affilates or NWS. I looked them over and here is a summary. Remember, unlike Chris, I have never been a meteorologist at any point of my career, so I am not equipped to answer any in-depth weather questions like him nor to forecast "voodooland".
TONIGHT: Storms move west through the evening, then turn partly cloudy overnight Lows in the lower 70s with a light wind.
Tuesday-Friday- Normal Florida summer weather. Scattered afternoon thunder showers/storms chance at 50%. Highs in the low 90's and lows in the low 70's at night
Good job Christine:thumbsup:I vote for you to be the official back up weather forecaster when Chris is not available.
Jodie
disneymom15;2460204 wrote: Good job Christine:thumbsup:I vote for you to be the official back up weather forecaster when Chris is not available.
Thanks, Jodie!
Here is the forecast through the weekend-
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy. Few morning showers. Scattered afternoon showers and storms (40%). Highs in the lower 90s. SW/SE wind 5-10 mph.
TONIGHT: Evening showers and storms east. Lows in the lower 70s. Partly cloudy.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. A few afternoon showers and storms (30%) pushing west. Highs in the lower 90s. SE wind 10-15 mph.
The weather forecast from WESH says there will be a gradual drying out, so while there will still be a chance of showers on Friday, it won't be as severe as was seen yesterday in places like Tampa. I saw pictures from South Tampa and we would have needed to have a boat to get to my Mom's old condo or to the church where my father's funeral was held!
This weather pattern looks like it will hold through Tuesday, when it looks like there is a front coming through (at least to my untrained eye).
Christine ºoº
Intercot Staff-Accommodations, Dining, Guests with Special Needs
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